20060101.01 I have much occasion to reflect on my failures: my failure to become a musician and my failure to become a mathematician. It is clearly impertinent of me to presume to redefine, to recalibrate mathematics in such a way as to mitigate the significance of my own failures in the field. Yet that is precisely what I do, when I point out that the validity of mathematical discovery is unavoidably mediated by social, that is to say, by political factors. Like any other (philosophical) theory, the mathematical discovery (or invention) unavoidably requires validation by society; and if not so validated, it will be lost. But this validation of the theory in turn is only incompletely a matter of its functional cogency. This validation is also a consequence of the social dynamics of the group to which it is presented, and in which it is considered. I doubt that the axiomatics which attracted such lively attention when David Hilbert presented them in Paris would have been taken nearly so seriously, if they had been offered by an unknown neophyte. Consequently their validity, such as it may be, is an expression not only of the compulsion of their logic, but also of the professional prestige of their author. It is, I think, important to recognize the extent to which knowledge - and purported knowledge as well - may be accepted on the authority of the teacher. A student presumptuous enough to venture to disagree would be stigmatized as being stupid. Is that why Thomas Aquinas was nicknamed the Dumb Ox? The autos ephe with which the Scholastics put down the questioner, strikes me as a mere emblem of the mass of scholastic reasoning, which, as I interpret it, required the uncritical and unquestioning acceptance of dogma. To the extent that he who was indoc- trinated was not required to understand, in the sense of being able explicate or to replicate that which he was expected to believe, its validity depended on the reputation of its promulgators. In other words, knowledge was required to be accepted on faith. Turning now to the scientific knowledge of which I am aware, much of which I do not understand in the sense of not being able to explicate or to replicate it, I have no alternative but to acknowledge that I am, nonethless, expected to accept it as true, again, as a matter of faith. What is accepted as true without being understood includes, of course, the vast assemblage of the assertions of physics, of chemistry, biology, and other sciences; but even more significant: it includes the assertions of statistics that purport to define the reality of the present and to rationalize the anticipation of the future. My point is, that from the perspective of accepting as true what we don't understand, we are all of us scholastics. And, given given the impenetrability of statistical reasoning to most of us, the statistician is the contemporary soothsayer par excellence. This issue, the reliable anticipation of the future is the crux of knowledge. It is the mental function which makes possible the life of humans, and perhaps also of all other animals; inasmuch as the gathering of food and the avoidance of danger, which require some knowledge of the future, are prerequisite to survival. The anticipation of the future is far from reliable. Statistics is the mathematical technique by which prediction of future events is to be enhanced. Obviously it is not unconditionally successful in this endeavor: for simple formulas prove to be inadequate. The more complex ones, even as they claim to be more reliable, become at the same time inscrutable, and to the point where one cannot understand them and must accept them on faith. Back in the Middle Ages again. Thus the limitations of understanding, specifically, the limitations of _my_ understanding lead to a situation which I am unable to distinguish from Scholasticism, a situation where I have no choice but to accept premises and reasoning that lead to essential conclusions about the world and about myself, and to accept such conclusions on faith, on faith no different from that which would have been required of me if I were living in the Middle Ages, and had to give my assent to the reasoning of the Scholastics. * * * * *

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